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In 2019, the domestic and international macroeconomic situation facing China's textile industry has become more complicated and severe, and various unstable and uncertain factors have been intertwined, bringing multiple tests for the industry to promote high-quality development.

“In the first half of the year, under the background of increased internal and external market pressures, the operating indicators of production, sales, efficiency and investment in the textile industry have fluctuated. The industry has insisted on deepening the supply-side structural reforms, accelerating the transformation and upgrading, and maintaining the prosperity in the expansion zone. The economic operation situation is generally normal, which is basically in line with the macro situation and development expectations," said Liu Xin, deputy director of China Textile Research Institute of Industrial Economics.

Domestic sales growth slowed down, online sales increased

Since 2019, China's domestic market for textile and apparel products has steadily slowed down, but online retail sales have been growing well. According to the National Bureau of Statistics, in the first half of the year, the retail sales of clothing, shoes, hats and needles and textiles above designated size was 656 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 3%. The growth rate slowed by 6.2 and 0.3 percentage points respectively compared with the same period of the previous year and the first quarter of this year. The national retail sales of online wearing goods increased by 21.4% year-on-year, and the growth rate slowed down by 2.7 percentage points compared with the same period of last year, but accelerated by 2.3 percentage points from the first quarter of this year and returned to a higher growth level of more than 20% since April.

Affected by factors such as the weakening of the international economic recovery and rising risk of trade environment, the export pressure of the textile industry has increased significantly compared with the same period of the previous year, and the product structure and market structure have been adjusted. According to China Customs data, in the first half of the year, China's textile and apparel exports amounted to US$128.4 billion, down 2% year-on-year. The growth rate slowed by 4.8 and 0.4 percentage points respectively compared with the same period of the previous year and the first quarter of this year. From the perspective of product structure, upstream chemical fiber, yarn, fabric and other products have become the main driving force for the export growth of the industry. In the first half of the year, China's textile exports increased by 1% year-on-year, accounting for 48.2% of the total export volume of the industry, up from 2018. 4.1 percentage points; in the same period, clothing exports fell by 4.7% year-on-year. From the perspective of export market structure, exports to emerging markets are better than traditional markets. In the first half of the year, China’s exports of textiles and clothing to the United States, the European Union and Japan decreased by 0.7%, 4.2% and 4.7% respectively, and exports to ASEAN, Mexico and Africa were year-on-year. They increased by 0.8%, 3.9% and 5.2% respectively.

The overall situation is stable

Since 2019, the textile industry's prosperity has continued to expand. According to the survey data of the China National Textile and Apparel Council, in the first quarter and the first half of the year, the textile industry's prosperity index was 55 and 52 respectively, both above the 50-year-old line, indicating that the industry is still in a growth cycle.

The overall production of the industry achieved steady growth. In the first half of the year, the industrial added value of enterprises above designated size in the textile industry increased by 3.6% year-on-year, which was 0.8 percentage points higher than the same period of the previous year, but slowed by 1.8 percentage points from the first quarter of this year. Among the various links in the industrial chain, the industrial added value of the chemical fiber industry maintained a 13% double-digit growth rate, which was 6.4 percentage points higher than the same period of the previous year; the industrial added value of the industrial textile industry grew more steadily, and the growth rate in the first half of the year was relatively high. It is 7.6%.

Operating quality pressure has increased

Since 2019, under the pressure of the internal and external markets, the profit pressure of textile enterprises has increased, the difficulty of improving the operation quality has increased, and the operating profit margin is increasing month by month. In the first half of the year, the country's 34,000 textile enterprises above designated size achieved operating income of 24,515.5 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 3.2%. The growth rate slowed by 0.9 percentage points from the same period of the previous year; the total profit reached 103.16 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 4%. In the same period of last year, it slowed down by 6.4 percentage points, but it was still better than the national manufacturing profit growth rate in the same period. Among the various sub-sectors, the profit growth of the filament and printing and dyeing industries led the whole industry, and the total profit increased by 12.9% and 9.9% respectively. The operating profit margin of textile enterprises above designated size was 4.2%, slightly lower than 0.3 percentage points in the same period of the previous year. However, this year, the monthly profit rate was 0.5 percentage points higher than that in the first quarter. The turnover rate of finished products of textile enterprises above designated size was 15.1 times/year, down 5.9% year-on-year; the total asset turnover rate was 1.3 times/year, the ratio of three fees was 6.9%, and the asset-liability ratio was 56.3%, which was roughly the same as the same period of the previous year. . The changes in the quality indicators of the industry's operation indicate that the pressure on the survival and development of textile enterprises has increased, but the enterprises are still actively accelerating transformation and upgrading, striving to improve their comprehensive management capabilities, striving to resolve external risks and maintain stable development.

The scale of investment in fixed assets has shrunk slightly, reflecting a slight lack of investment confidence. In the first half of the year, the completion of fixed assets investment in the textile industry decreased by 1.3% year-on-year, and the growth rate slowed by 2.6 and 7.8 percentage points respectively compared with the same period of the previous year and the first quarter of this year. In each sub-sector, the investment in the garment industry increased by 0.8% year-on-year, with a growth rate of 6.5 percentage points higher than the same period of the previous year. The investment scale achieved positive growth for five consecutive months; the investment in the textile and chemical fiber industries decreased by 0.3% and 10.6% respectively. . In terms of regions, the investment in some provinces in central China has accelerated, and the investment in textile industry in Anhui, Henan, Hubei, and Hunan provinces has achieved good growth, and the growth rate is significantly higher than the national average.

Zhao Mingxia, deputy dean of China Textile Research Institute of Industrial Economics, pointed out that overall, in the second half of 2019, the external environment facing the textile industry is more complicated, but China's macroeconomic environment and domestic consumption market will still provide the primary development support for the industry.

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